Weekly Mortgage & Market Update

Bond Yields Ease, Trade Risks Grow, and Vancouver Plans More Homes

Weekly Mortgage and Market Update for September 25, 2026

Canadian bond yields closed lower on Friday, offering a little relief after touching a new 52 week high one day earlier. The pullback is welcome, but it does not erase the sharp increase seen over the past month. Oil also moved lower during a volatile week, while the trade dispute between Canada and the United States continued to create uncertainty for workers and businesses. In Vancouver, a new proposal could eventually add 193 ownership homes near Oakridge.

3.633%Canada Five Year Bond Yield Friday Close
8.7Basis Point Decline From Thursday
US $91.77Oil Price Near Midday Friday
193Homes Proposed Near Oakridge

Bond Yields Pull Back From a New High

Canada’s five year government bond yield closed Friday at 3.633%, down from Thursday’s close of 3.720%. Thursday’s level was also the highest point in the previous 52 weeks.

This decline provides some short term relief, but the bigger picture still matters. The yield remained approximately 30 basis points higher than one month earlier. Since fixed mortgage pricing is influenced by bond yields, lender funding costs, competition, risk, and operating margins, one softer day is not enough to reverse the recent increases in fixed mortgage rates.

Bond yields moved in the right direction on Friday, but borrowers should not assume that fixed mortgage rates will immediately follow.

If you are buying, renewing, or refinancing soon, it may still be worth arranging a rate hold. This can protect current pricing while leaving room to request an eligible lower rate if lender pricing improves before closing. Availability and terms vary by lender.

Oil Moves Lower, but Inflation Risks Remain

West Texas Intermediate oil traded near US $91.77 around midday Friday, approximately 3% lower on the day. The decline followed a volatile period shaped by geopolitical risk, supply concerns, and hopes for diplomatic progress involving the United States and Iran.

Lower oil prices can eventually reduce pressure on gasoline, transportation, and shipping costs. That could help the inflation outlook if the decline continues. However, one day of lower pricing does not establish a lasting trend, especially when global energy supplies remain vulnerable to sudden disruption.

For the Bank of Canada, the direction of energy prices is only one part of the decision. Policymakers will also consider employment, consumer spending, economic growth, the Canadian dollar, housing activity, and underlying inflation.

Canada and the United States Remain in a Trade Standoff

Reuters reported that the United States administration sees no urgency in reaching a new trade agreement with Canada. The dispute continues as businesses prepare for the possibility of additional restrictions and higher tariffs affecting Canadian vehicles, auto parts, steel, and other exports.

This creates two competing risks for Canadians. Trade disruption can weaken economic growth and employment, while tariffs can increase the cost of vehicles, materials, equipment, and other goods. Slower growth would normally support lower interest rates, but higher prices can keep inflation elevated and limit the Bank of Canada’s flexibility.

Borrowers employed in manufacturing, transportation, steel, automotive supply, forestry, agriculture, or other export dependent industries should prepare for closer income review. Lenders may request updated employment letters, recent pay records, business financial statements, contracts, or confirmation that overtime and bonus income are likely to continue.

Oakridge Proposal Could Add 193 Ownership Homes

The City of Vancouver has received a rezoning application for 5680 Oak Street at West 41st Avenue. The proposal would replace the current commercial site with a 26 storey mixed use building containing 193 strata homes and approximately 3,061 square feet of ground floor commercial space.

The location is near rapid transit, shopping, employment, and the continuing redevelopment of the Oakridge area. Additional ownership supply in a well connected neighbourhood would be positive for buyers, particularly if the project includes a useful mix of home sizes.

It is important to remember that this is still a proposal. Rezoning review, public input, financing, approvals, construction, and completion can take years. Proposed homes should not be treated as immediately available inventory.

What This Means for You

If You Are Buying

Do not wait for one market indicator to make the decision for you. Review your budget, obtain a rate hold, and compare the complete mortgage terms before making an offer. Payment flexibility, penalties, portability, and prepayment privileges can matter as much as the opening rate.

If You Are Renewing

Start reviewing your options early. Recent bond volatility can cause lenders to adjust fixed pricing quickly, while variable mortgage pricing responds to Bank of Canada decisions. Compare the risks and benefits of each option based on your plans and comfort with payment changes.

If Your Income Depends on Trade

Keep current employment and income documents available. If overtime, bonuses, commissions, contracts, or business revenue form part of your application, review how a lender may calculate that income before committing to a purchase.

Featured Listing

Featured Listing | MLS R3165855 | Citadel Heights

1171 O’Flaherty Gate, Port Coquitlam

$875,000 | Spacious Townhouse in The Summit

Three Bedrooms
Three Bathrooms
1,888 Square Feet
Three Level Split
Built in 1996
Double Garage
Two Private Patios
Strata Fee $494.87 Monthly

Located at the quiet end of The Summit in Citadel Heights, this bright end unit townhouse offers 1,888 square feet of living space with three bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms. The main living area features soaring 17 foot ceilings, scenic views, and a gas fireplace.

The practical layout includes a double garage and generous storage. Two private patios and a peaceful garden area provide space to relax outdoors. Parks, the Traboulay PoCo Trail, shopping, transit, and local schools are nearby.

Illustrative Financing Options

The following examples show how the down payment can affect the mortgage amount, payment, and estimated income needed to qualify. All four examples use the current asking price of $875,000 and a 30 year amortization.

Option 1: $62,500 Down

Down Payment7.14% or $62,500
Mortgage Insurance$34,125
Mortgage Amount$846,625
Rate and Term4.34% for 3 Years Fixed
Payment Every Two Weeks$1,932.14
Stress Test Rate6.34%
Estimated Required Income$174,955

Option 2: 10% Down

Down Payment$87,500
Mortgage Insurance$25,988
Mortgage Amount$813,488
Rate and Term4.34% for 3 Years Fixed
Payment Every Two Weeks$1,856.51
Stress Test Rate6.34%
Estimated Required Income$168,829

Option 3: 15% Down

Down Payment$131,250
Mortgage Insurance$22,313
Mortgage Amount$766,063
Rate and Term4.34% for 3 Years Fixed
Payment Every Two Weeks$1,748.28
Stress Test Rate6.34%
Estimated Required Income$160,061

Option 4: 20% Down

Down Payment$175,000
Mortgage InsuranceNot Included
Mortgage Amount$700,000
Rate and Term4.64% for 3 Years Fixed
Payment Every Two Weeks$1,653.72
Stress Test Rate6.64%
Estimated Required Income$151,866

Increasing the down payment from $62,500 to $175,000 reduces the illustrated payment by approximately $278.42 every two weeks and reduces the estimated qualifying income by approximately $23,089.

View the complete property listing

Listing courtesy of Stephanie Porter
Royal LePage Wolstencroft
For property information or a private showing, call 604 866 8939 or email stephanie@portergroup.ca.

Property information was obtained from the current listing and is subject to change. Buyers should independently verify all measurements, features, taxes, strata information, property condition, and listing details with their real estate professional. Financing figures were prepared on September 24, 2026 and are illustrative only. Options 1 to 3 include insured financing. Option 4 uses conventional financing without mortgage insurance. Rates, mortgage insurance, payments, qualifying income, and available products may change and are subject to lender and insurer approval. Estimated qualifying income does not account for every borrower liability or property expense. Property taxes, strata fees, insurance, utilities, closing costs, and other ownership costs are not included. Individual qualification will vary.

What Is On This Weekend: September 25 to 27

A strong weekend of sports, art, music, and cultural experiences is planned across Vancouver. Here are four ideas to consider.

Vancouver Canucks Fan Fest
Rogers Arena
September 25 and 26
Open practice, a charity hockey game, interactive activities, street hockey, live entertainment, player arrivals, and preseason action offer fans several ways to get close to the team.

Fan Fest information

Artists for Conservation Festival
VanDusen Botanical Garden
September 24 to 27
Nature inspired art, cultural performances, workshops, films, live music, wildlife presentations, and art demonstrations come together in one of Vancouver’s most beautiful garden settings.

Festival information

Africa With the Masters Festival
Vancouver
September 25 to 27
A welcoming celebration featuring African music, dance, storytelling, food, family activities, traditional games, and public workshops for a wide range of ages.

Program and tickets

Vancouver International Flamenco Festival
Performance Works on Granville Island
September 25 to 27
Three evenings of flamenco music and dance feature Vancouver performers and guest artists from Spain in an intimate Granville Island venue.

Performances and tickets

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